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Carlton Carrington

Carlton Carrington Points
Player Prop - 3/3/2025

Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards

Carlton Carrington Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bub Carrington has made 2.3 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.7 higher than he's made in all games this year.

The Wizards have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games on the road in terms of 3-point attempts.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a favorable one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).

Bub Carrington has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 14.6% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year away from his home court.

The matchup vs. the Miami Heat may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 5.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 10th-most lethargic pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Washington Wizards.

The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Washington Wizards.

The Wizards have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bub Carrington will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lower player production in all stat categories.

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