Caris LeVert Points - Player Prop Bet 4/21/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Caris LeVert

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

New York Knicks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Apr 21, 2023

Updated Apr 21, 2023 7:31 PM EST

Analysis

Caris LeVert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Caris LeVert has converted 60.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 24.6% higher than he's converted overall this season while playing on the road.
Caris LeVert has tallied 29.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 78th percentile.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court.
The Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. New York is a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 4.3 free throws per game this year when the Knicks are on their home court (29th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Caris LeVert has attempted a lowly 10.1 field goals per game this season, quite a bit less than his 14.7 rate last season.
Caris LeVert has been called for 2.2 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The matchup vs. New York is a tough one for three-pointers; when the Knicks are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have shot for the 14th-lowest three rate in the league this year (29.6%).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year.
The Knicks have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Cavaliers.