Caris LeVert Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Caris LeVert

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 23, 2023

Updated Mar 23, 2023 9:26 PM EST

Analysis

Caris LeVert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Caris LeVert has posted 18.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.8 higher than he's posted overall this season.
Caris LeVert has made 3.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's converted over the course of the year.
Caris LeVert has tallied 29.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 78th percentile.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
The matchup against the Nets is a hard one for field goals; opposing teams have shot for the 4th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (46.3%).

Favors Under

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Nets have played at the 8th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Nets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a good one for getting to the foul line; when the Nets are at home, opposing squads have attempted a monstrous 25.3 free throws per game over the last 15 games (7th-most in the league).