Caris LeVert Points - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2023

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Caris LeVert

NBA · Player Props

Caris LeVert

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 8, 2023

Updated Mar 9, 2023 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Caris LeVert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Caris LeVert has attempted 14.7 shots from the field per game this year, putting him in the 90th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Caris LeVert has played 30.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 83rd percentile.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Heat have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Caris LeVert has made 92.2% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 14.6% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Caris LeVert has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's tallied in all games this season.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
This matchup is a strong one for attempts from downtown; opposing squads have averaged the 4th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (37.5).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Cavaliers.

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