Caris LeVert Points - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2023

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Caris LeVert

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Washington Wizards vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Feb 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Caris LeVert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Caris LeVert has attempted 5.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Caris LeVert has been on the court for 30.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 80th percentile.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Playing at home, the Wizards have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the other team have attempted a massive 22.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (5th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

This matchup is a difficult one; when the Wizards are playing at home, they have allowed the 8th-least points per game in the league to opposing teams over the last 15 games (115.7).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Wizards have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Caris LeVert has converted a measly 69.4% of his foul shots this year, significantly lower than his 77.6 rate last year.