Caris LeVert Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2023

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Caris LeVert

NBA · Player Props

Caris LeVert

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 8, 2023

Updated Mar 9, 2023 3:31 AM EST

Analysis

Caris LeVert Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Caris LeVert has totaled 5.2 assists per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's totaled overall this year.
Caris LeVert has played 30.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 83rd percentile.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Heat have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Caris LeVert has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's tallied in all games this season.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Cavaliers.
Caris LeVert will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually lowers stat production across the board.

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