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Cameron Payne

Cameron Payne Points
Player Prop - 3/31/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets

Cameron Payne Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Cameron Payne has converted 64.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 19.8% higher than he's sunk in all games this year playing at home.

This matchup is a challenging one for attempts from downtown; opposing squads have tallied the 3rd-least three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 25 games when the Nuggets are the visiting team (31.0).

The Phoenix Suns rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Cameron Payne has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 32.5% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season while playing at home.

The matchup against the Nuggets may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team have attempted a lowly 21.2 foul shots per game over the last 25 games when the Nuggets are the visiting squad (least in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Cameron Payne has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up.

The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Suns.

Away from home, the Nuggets have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls: 2nd-worst in the league this year, tallying a lowly 21.6 free throws per game.

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