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Cameron Payne

Cameron Payne Assists
Player Prop - 11/28/2023

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

Cameron Payne Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Heat have allowed the 6th-least offensive boards per game (9.7) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Cameron Payne has averaged a mere 2.4 assists per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 4.3 assists per game last season.

Cameron Payne has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, quite a bit more than his 0.0 technicals per game last year.

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Bucks.

Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 4thworst in in the league without the home court advantage with just 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Cameron Payne will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player performance in all stat categories.

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