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Cameron Johnson

Cameron Johnson Rebounds
Player Prop - 1/15/2024

Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat

Cameron Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-144/+118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +118 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Cameron Johnson has averaged 1.6 offensive boards per game this year at home, placing him among the league leaders by this metric in recent games: 85th percentile.

The Brooklyn Nets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 25 games, the other team has grabbed 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Miami Heat (reducing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense).

Cameron Johnson ought to get a boost in efficiency across the board on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Cameron Johnson has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.0 more than he's averaged over the course of the season at home.

The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Nets.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year, which should reduce possessions for the Nets.

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