Cameron Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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Cameron Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Cameron Johnson

F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Brooklyn Nets · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 18, 2024 3:07 AM EST

Analysis

Cameron Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Cameron Johnson has sunk 2.5 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, placing him in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA.
The Brooklyn Nets will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from facing the 10th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).
The Nets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 3.9 free throws per game (24th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Favors Under

The Nets rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home.
The matchup against Portland is a difficult one for shot attempts from the field; when the Portland Trail Blazers are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 15th-least field goal attempts per game in the league this year (8.4).
The Nets have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Over the last 25 games, opposing clubs have snagged 11.1 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Trail Blazers (preserving possessions that can produce bonus opportunities for offense).
Cameron Johnson has converted 65.3% of his free throw attempts this year, ranking him in the 18th percentile out of all players in the league.

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