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Cameron Johnson

Cameron Johnson Points
Player Prop - 1/15/2024

Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat

Cameron Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Cameron Johnson has attempted 7.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

The matchup vs. Miami is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Heat are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 28th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.8).

The Brooklyn Nets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 25 games, the other team has grabbed 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Miami Heat (reducing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense).

The matchup vs. the Miami Heat may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 6.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games (28th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Cameron Johnson has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.0 more than he's averaged over the course of the season at home.

The Nets check in as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 15 games.

The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Nets.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year, which should reduce possessions for the Nets.

In comparison to last year's 84.7% rate, Cameron Johnson's foul-shot effectiveness has declined this year to 65.3%.

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