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Cameron Johnson

Cameron Johnson Points
Player Prop - 11/25/2023

Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat

Cameron Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Cameron Johnson has attempted 6.8 3-point shots per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among all players in the NBA.

The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

This year, their opposition has captured 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (7th-lowest in the league) against the Miami Heat (minimizing possessions that could otherwise spark added opportunities for offense).

Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 4.0 free throws per game (24th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Cameron Johnson is expected to see a spike in production across the board in light of owning the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With respect to shooting, the Nets's subpar 111.0 points per game away from home comes in as the 8th-fewest in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. Miami is a difficult one for field goals; when the Heat are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the 11th-lowest FG% in the league this year (39.8%).

The Heat have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to decrease possessions for the Brooklyn Nets.

Cameron Johnson has sunk just 81.3% of his free throws this year, quite a bit lower than his 93.8 mark last year.

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