Cameron Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2023

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Cameron Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Cameron Johnson

F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 7, 2023

Updated Mar 8, 2023 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Cameron Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Brooklyn Nets have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from home.
The matchup against the Rockets is a positive one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs this year (16.0).
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games away from home.
The Rockets have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Nets.
The matchup against Houston is a positive one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted an enormous 3.7 free throws per game this year when the Rockets are at home (28th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
The Rockets have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

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