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Cam Thomas

Cam Thomas Points
Player Prop - 1/15/2024

Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat

Cam Thomas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last season's 32.5% clip, Cam Thomas's shooting prowess has risen this season to 41.0%.

Compared to last season's 16.3 clip, Cam Thomas's playing time has spiked this season to 28.7 minutes per game.

The Brooklyn Nets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 25 games, the other team has grabbed 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Miami Heat (reducing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense).

Cam Thomas has attempted 4.4 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit more than his 3.0 mark last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Cam Thomas has missed 3.5 3-point attempts per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 1.4 rate last year.

The Nets check in as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 15 games.

This matchup is a strong one for 3-point attempts; opposing clubs have averaged the 7th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 20 games when the Heat are away from home (36.4).

The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Nets.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year, which should reduce possessions for the Nets.

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