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Cam Thomas

Cam Thomas Points
Player Prop - 12/14/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Brooklyn Nets

Cam Thomas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Compared to last season's 7.9 rate, Cam Thomas's shots from the field have spiked this season to 19.7 per game.

Cam Thomas has tallied 30.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 79th percentile.

The matchup vs. Denver is a favorable one for 3-point shots; when the Nuggets are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have shot for the 25th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (39.8%).

The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Playing at home, the Denver Nuggets have allowed the 10th-least offensive boards per game (10.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Cam Thomas has averaged 1.9 personal fouls per game this year, significantly more than his 1.0 fouls per game last year.

The Nets have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Brooklyn Nets.

With respect to getting to the foul line, the Brooklyn Nets's subpar 20.2 free throws per game as the visting team ranks 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.

Cam Thomas should see a decline in production in all facets of the game considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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