Caleb Martin Steals - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2023

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Caleb Martin

NBA · Player Props

Caleb Martin

F · Miami Heat

Steals

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 13, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Caleb Martin Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+180/-220).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Caleb Martin has posted 1.1 steals per game this year at home, ranking him among the best in the NBA in this category in recent days: 87th percentile.
Caleb Martin has averaged a terrific 29.8 minutes per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 20.1 minutes per game last year.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should raise possessions for the Heat.
Caleb Martin will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to raises player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Caleb Martin has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.3 more than he's been called for overall this year at home.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while at home.

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