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Caleb Martin

Caleb Martin Rebounds
Player Prop - 5/17/2023

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Caleb Martin Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Caleb Martin has totaled 1.2 offensive rebounds per game this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this standard over this stretch.

Caleb Martin has played 28.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 75th percentile.

With the home court advantage, the Celtics have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.2) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Caleb Martin has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's been called for overall this season.

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while playing on the road.

The Celtics have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Heat.

The Miami Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Caleb Martin will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually decreases stat production for all stats.

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