Caleb Martin Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/10/2023

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Caleb Martin

NBA · Player Props

Caleb Martin

F · Miami Heat

Rebounds

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat · May 10, 2023

Updated May 10, 2023 11:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Caleb Martin Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Caleb Martin has compiled 1.2 offensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- among the league's best by this standard in recent days.
Caleb Martin has tallied 28.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 75th percentile.
The Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Caleb Martin has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 more than he's committed overall this season.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league this year.
The Knicks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Caleb Martin will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player performance across the board.

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