Caleb Martin Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/1/2023

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Caleb Martin

NBA · Player Props

Caleb Martin

F · Miami Heat

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 1, 2023

Updated Apr 1, 2023 11:32 PM UTC

Analysis

Caleb Martin Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+120/-156).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Caleb Martin has totaled 1.3 offensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the 80th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this standard in recent games.
Caleb Martin has averaged a terrific 29.1 minutes per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 20.1 minutes per game last season.
Caleb Martin will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.
The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
While playing on the road, the Mavericks have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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