Caleb Martin Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

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Caleb Martin

NBA · Player Props

Caleb Martin

F · Miami Heat

Rebounds

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 29, 2023 11:34 PM UTC

Analysis

Caleb Martin Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Caleb Martin has totaled 1.3 offensive rebounds per game this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- among the best in the league by this metric over this stretch.
Caleb Martin has played 29.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 76th percentile.
The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Knicks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league on their home court this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Caleb Martin will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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