Caleb Martin Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2023

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Caleb Martin

NBA · Player Props

Caleb Martin

F · Miami Heat

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic · Jan 27, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Caleb Martin Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-160/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Caleb Martin has tallied 1.5 offensive rebounds per game this year at home, placing him among the hottest players in the NBA in this category recently: 83rd percentile.
Caleb Martin has played 29.4 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 76th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home (which also lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Heat have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Magic.
Caleb Martin will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raises player production across the board.

Favors Under

Caleb Martin has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
The Magic have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games when playing on the road (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games at home.

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