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Caleb Martin

Caleb Martin Points
Player Prop - 5/1/2024

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Caleb Martin has made 56.7% of his treys over the last 5 games on the road, 18.6% more than he's converted from three in all games this season away from home.

Caleb Martin has played 33.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 higher than he's played over the course of the year.

As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA as the away team over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat.

The matchup vs. the Boston Celtics is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).

Caleb Martin has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 19.8% more than he's made over the course of the year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The most lethargic tempo road offense in the NBA this year has been the Heat.

The Miami Heat are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Boston Celtics).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 2ndworst in in the league with just 7.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

The matchup against Boston may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.6 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Celtics have the home court advantage (4th-least in the league).

Caleb Martin ought to suffer a drop-off in output in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

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