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Caleb Martin

Caleb Martin Points
Player Prop - 4/27/2024

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Caleb Martin has sunk 47.5% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 8.8% more than he's sunk in all games this year.

The Miami Heat check in as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games while at home in terms of three-point attempts.

This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 6.7 three attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Celtics, designating this as a strong matchup.

Caleb Martin has made 91.7% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games at home, 10.0% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while playing at home.

Caleb Martin will likely see a rise in performance for all stats on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league this year.

The Heat will likely see a decline in plays today from facing the most lethargic tempo away offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Celtics).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the league with a mere 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.

The matchup vs. Boston may be a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.5 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Celtics are the visiting squad (5th-least in the league).

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