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Caleb Martin

Caleb Martin Points
Player Prop - 4/19/2024

Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls

Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Heat check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Caleb Martin has successfully made 91.7% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games at home, 10.0% more than he's converted in all games this year at home.

This year, opposing starting SFs have attempted 4.5 foul shots per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Caleb Martin will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city tends to raise player performance across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Caleb Martin has failed to convert 3.1 shots from downtown per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 more than he's missed in all games this year.

The Miami Heat have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court.

This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 23.9% on threes (worst in the NBA) against the Bulls, making this a tough matchup.

The 2nd-slowest pace team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.

The Bulls have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Heat.

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