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Caleb Martin

Caleb Martin Points
Player Prop - 4/14/2024

Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors

Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Caleb Martin has tallied 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.

The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home as it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc.

The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Toronto Raptors).

Caleb Martin has sunk 91.7% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games at home, 10.0% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season at home.

Caleb Martin is expected to see a spike in performance across the board in light of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Caleb Martin has missed 3.3 3-point attempts per game over the last 15 games, 1.0 more than he's missed overall this year.

The matchup against Toronto is a tough one for 3-point attempts; when the Raptors are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 2nd-least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.3).

The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year.

The Miami Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Raptors may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.2 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (least in the league).

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