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Caleb Martin

Caleb Martin Points
Player Prop - 4/10/2024

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks

Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In regard to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's fantastic 38.1% rate of successful threes at home comes in as the 7th-strongest in the NBA this year.

This year, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 6.1 three attempts per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, branding this as a positive matchup.

The clash with Kyrie Irving slots into only the 90th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting SGs scoring an enormous 49.1% of their shots from the field this year when they are on their home court.

The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Heat.

Caleb Martin has converted 90.3% of his foul shots over the last 10 games at home, 9.6% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year on his home court.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Caleb Martin has failed to make 3.3 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's missed from beyond the arc overall this season.

The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Heat.

The Heat have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Mavericks may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (6th-least in the league).

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