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Caleb Martin

Caleb Martin Points
Player Prop - 2/26/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat

Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

As it relates to shots from downtown, the Heat's terrific 37.4% rate of converted threes ranks 9th-most in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. the Kings is a strong one for field goals; the opposition's starting PFs have posted the 25th-highest Field Goal% in the league this year (52.6%).

The Miami Heat are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Kings).

The Sacramento Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The least up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Heat.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the NBA away from their home court with a mere 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

The matchup vs. the Kings may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.4 free throws per game over the last 20 games (14th-least in the league).

Caleb Martin will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually reduces player performance across the board.

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