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Caleb Martin

Caleb Martin Points
Player Prop - 2/23/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat

Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -124 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 6.1 three attempts per game (27th-most in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans, marking this as a positive matchup.

The Miami Heat are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Caleb Martin has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 20.0% more than he's sunk overall this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Caleb Martin has shot and missed 2.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's missed from three overall this year.

The Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing away from home.

Offensive rebounds save possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the league as the away team with only 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.

Playing at home, the New Orleans Pelicans have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

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