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Caleb Martin

Caleb Martin Points
Player Prop - 2/13/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Heat are expected to see a rise in possessions today from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace home team in the league this year (the Milwaukee Bucks).

The Bucks have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Caleb Martin has made 87.5% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 8.5% more than he's sunk overall this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Milwaukee is a tough one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 25 games when the Milwaukee Bucks have the home court advantage (3.8).

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 20 games as the road team.

The Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Milwaukee may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 25 games when the Milwaukee Bucks are at home (7th-least in the NBA).

Caleb Martin should suffer a reduction in output in all facets of the game due to being on the road in this game.

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