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Caleb Martin

Caleb Martin Points
Player Prop - 2/6/2024

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic

 
 
 
Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Caleb Martin has made 50.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 6.6% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.
  • In regard to 3-pointers, the Miami Heat's excellent 39.6% rate of converted threes at home rates 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 25 games.
  • The Orlando Magic have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (6.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Caleb Martin will likely see a rise in efficiency across the board considering possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup against Orlando is a difficult one; when the Orlando Magic are on the road, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs over the last 10 games (15.1).
  • The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Heat.
  • The Orlando Magic have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Heat.
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 6thworst in in the league with just 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.
  • Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.8 free throws per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

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