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Caleb Martin

Caleb Martin Points
Player Prop - 2/2/2024

Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat

Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Caleb Martin has converted 64.6% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 25.5% higher than he's made from downtown overall this season on the road.

The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

This matchup is a challenging one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing teams have tallied the 2nd-fewest 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 10 games when the Washington Wizards are at home (30.1).

The Washington Wizards have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Heat.

Caleb Martin has made 90.9% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 10.3% higher than he's put through the net overall this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The most sluggish tempo road offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the league as the road team with a mere 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.

This year, the other team has brought down 13.0 offensive boards per game (most in the NBA) against the Washington Wizards (maintaining possessions that can spark bonus opportunities for offense).

This matchup may be a good one for getting to the foul line; when the Washington Wizards are on their home court, opposing clubs have attempted a monstrous 24.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (6th-most in the NBA).

Caleb Martin should suffer a reduction in efficiency in all stat categories on account of playing on the visting team in this game.

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