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Caleb Martin

Caleb Martin Points
Player Prop - 1/21/2024

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat

Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Caleb Martin has made 51.8% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 18.8% more than he's sunk over the course of the year while playing on the road.

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the Heat's excellent 38.0% rate of sunk threes places 5th-highest in the NBA this year.

The matchup against the Orlando Magic is a strong one for shot attempts from the field; opposing starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (14.8).

This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 8.6 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) against the Magic (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense).

Caleb Martin has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 23.0% more than he's made over the course of the year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Orlando Magic).

The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Caleb Martin should see a decline in output across the board on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

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