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Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-114/-105).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -105.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Caleb Martin has attempted 11.0 field goals per game this year, a significant increase from his 7.9 mark last year.Caleb Martin has tallied 34.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 8.8 higher than he's tallied overall this season at home.With respect to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's terrific 39.4% rate of sunk threes on the road settles in as the highest in the league this year.Since the start of last season, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 1.8 3-pointers per game (27th-highest in the league) vs. the Bulls, resulting in a favorable matchup.The 9th-fastest tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Heat.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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In comparison to last year's 0.0 rate, Caleb Martin's technical fouls have risen this year to 0.1 per game.The Chicago Bulls have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Miami Heat.Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with just 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.Over the last 25 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team has brought down 10.9 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Bulls (continuing possessions that can generate further chances for offense).Caleb Martin has converted a lowly 33.3% of his free throw attempts this season, quite a bit less than his 82.7 rate last season.
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