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Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -115.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Compared to last season's 7.9 rate, Caleb Martin's shots have jumped this season to 10.9 per game.Caleb Martin has averaged 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 more than he's averaged overall this season.In regard to three-pointers, the Miami Heat's outstanding 38.9% rate of made threes as the road team rates 2nd-highest in the league this year.This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 2.1 three-pointers per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Hornets, branding this as a positive matchup.The 9th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Caleb Martin has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this season at home.The Hornets have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Miami Heat.Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 4thworst in in the league when playing at home with just 9.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.With the home court advantage, the Charlotte Hornets have allowed the most offensive boards per game (13.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).Caleb Martin has successfully made just 33.3% of his free throws this year, a sizeable decrease from his 82.7 mark last year.
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