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Caleb Martin

Caleb Martin Points
Player Prop - 10/25/2023

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons

Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Compared to his full-year mark of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1) per home game, Caleb Martin's three-pointers sunk have spiked by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) over the last 5 games playing at home.

Caleb Martin has tallied 34.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) higher than he's tallied overall this season at home.

The Heat rank as the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games.

This matchup is a difficult one for three-point shots; when the Detroit Pistons have the home court advantage, opposing teams have compiled the 3rd-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (34.6%).

Caleb Martin has converted a whopping 82.5% of his free throws this season, significantly higher than his 72.6 mark last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage.

The Pistons have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease plays for the {OPP_TEAM}.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 8thworst in in the league when playing on the road with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.

At home, the Detroit Pistons have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

This matchup is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; when the Detroit Pistons are at home, opposing squads have attempted a monstrous 26.2 free throws per game this year (most in the NBA).

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