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Caleb Martin

Caleb Martin Points
Player Prop - 6/7/2023

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Caleb Martin has made 2.5 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 higher than he's made from downtown in all games this year.
  • The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of 3-point attempts.
  • Caleb Martin has successfully made 93.8% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 11.6% higher than he's converted overall this year.
  • Caleb Martin will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally boosts player production in all stat categories.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a challenging one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (13.4).
  • The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
  • The Nuggets have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to fewer plays for the Heat.
  • The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • When playing away from home, the Nuggets have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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