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Caleb Martin

Caleb Martin Points
Player Prop - 6/4/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -124.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Caleb Martin has made 2.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year.
  • Caleb Martin has been on the court for 34.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year.
  • The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA while on the road this year in terms of 3-point attempts.
  • The Nuggets have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Caleb Martin has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 18.3% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season while playing away from home.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup against Denver is a difficult one; when the Nuggets are playing at home, they have given up the 7th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.0).
  • The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.
  • The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
  • Caleb Martin will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player performance across the board.

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