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Caleb Martin

Caleb Martin Points
Player Prop - 5/27/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Caleb Martin has successfully made 2.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's made over the course of the season.

The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of 3-point attempts.

The Celtics have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Caleb Martin has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 17.7% more than he's put through the net overall this year.

Caleb Martin will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually increases player production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Caleb Martin has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.2 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season at home.

The matchup against the Celtics is a tough one for scoring; the opposition's starting PFs have posted the 8th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (45.7%).

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the league this year.

The Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should reduce plays for the Heat.

The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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