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Caleb Martin

Caleb Martin Points
Player Prop - 5/19/2023

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Caleb Martin has successfully made 2.0 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's sunk in all games this season while on the road.

Caleb Martin has tallied 28.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 75th percentile.

The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage as it relates to attempts from downtown.

The matchup vs. the Celtics is a good one for threes; opposing starting SFs have shot for the 22nd-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (36.0%).

With the home court advantage, the Celtics have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Caleb Martin has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's tallied overall this season.

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

The Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Heat.

The Miami Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Boston may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.3 free throws per game over the last 25 games when the Celtics are at home (9th-least in the league).

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