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Caleb Martin

Caleb Martin Points
Player Prop - 4/26/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Caleb Martin has made 62.8% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 16.1% more than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Caleb Martin has sunk 50.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 18.4% more than he's made from three overall this season.

Caleb Martin has been on the court for 28.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 75th percentile.

The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.

The Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Heat.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Caleb Martin has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's averaged overall this season.

The matchup against the Bucks is a positive one; they have given up the 5th-most points per game in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (120.2).

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year.

The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Caleb Martin will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

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