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Caleb Martin

Caleb Martin Points
Player Prop - 4/16/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +101 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Caleb Martin has averaged 28.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 76th percentile.
  • The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of three-point attempts.
  • The matchup vs. the Bucks is a tough one for shots from the field; their opposition have put up the lowest field goal rate in the league this year (45.7%).
  • The Bucks have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Heat.
  • The matchup vs. the Bucks may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; their opposition have attempted a lowly 15.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (least in the league).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Caleb Martin has successfully made 15.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, -16.2% less than he's converted from three over the course of the year.
  • The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games.
  • The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Bucks have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
  • Caleb Martin will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually decreases player production across the board.

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