Caleb Martin Points - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Caleb Martin

F · Miami Heat

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat · Mar 28, 2023

Updated Mar 28, 2023 11:33 PM UTC

Analysis

Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Caleb Martin has successfully made 53.1% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 7.2% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.
Caleb Martin has been on the court for 29.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 76th percentile.
The Miami Heat have been the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league when playing on the road this year in terms of 3-point attempts.
The Raptors have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Caleb Martin has successfully made 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year while playing on the road.

Favors Under

This matchup is a positive one for 3-pointers; their opposition have shot for the 3rd-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing at home (38.2%).
The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Raptors have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; when the Raptors have the home court advantage, opposing squads have attempted a massive 24.5 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (8th-most in the NBA).