Caleb Martin Points - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2023

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Caleb Martin

NBA · Player Props

Caleb Martin

F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks · Mar 22, 2023

Updated Mar 22, 2023 11:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Caleb Martin has successfully made 64.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 18.6% more than he's made in all games this season on his home court.
Caleb Martin has been on the court for an impressive 29.2 minutes per game this season, a significant increase from his 20.1 minutes per game last season.
The Miami Heat have been the 10th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc.
While playing on the road, the Knicks have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Caleb Martin has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 18.9% higher than he's sunk overall this season.

Favors Under

This matchup is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Knicks are the visiting team, opposing clubs have tallied the 5th-most three-pointers per game in the NBA against them this year (13.5).
The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage.
The Knicks have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 20 games on the road, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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