Caleb Martin Points - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2023

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Caleb Martin

NBA · Player Props

Caleb Martin

F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 15, 2023

Updated Mar 15, 2023 11:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Caleb Martin has converted 54.7% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 17.5% higher than he's converted from three in all games this year.
This matchup is a hard one for scoring; their opposition have averaged the 9th-least shots made from the field per game in the NBA over the last 10 games when the Grizzlies are the visiting squad (39.9).
The Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Caleb Martin has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 31.4% higher than he's put through the net overall this season playing at home.

Favors Under

Caleb Martin has tallied 15.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, -4.5 less than he's tallied overall this year.
The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
The Grizzlies have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a good one for drawing fouls; when the Grizzlies are on the road, opposing squads have attempted a whopping 23.3 foul shots per game this year (6th-most in the league).

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