Caleb Martin Points - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2023

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Caleb Martin

NBA · Player Props

Caleb Martin

F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 8, 2023

Updated Mar 9, 2023 12:36 AM UTC

Analysis

Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Caleb Martin has converted 54.7% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 17.5% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Cavaliers have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Caleb Martin has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 31.4% more than he's converted overall this year while at home.
The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; opposing clubs have attempted a mere 19.5 foul shots per game this year (2nd-least in the NBA).

Favors Under

Caleb Martin has tallied 15.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, -4.5 lower than he's tallied in all games this year.
The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games on the road, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Heat.

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