Caleb Martin Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2023

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Caleb Martin

NBA · Player Props

Caleb Martin

F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 6, 2023

Updated Mar 6, 2023 10:37 PM UTC

Analysis

Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Caleb Martin has sunk 54.7% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 17.5% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season.
The matchup against the Hawks is a good one for threes; the other team's starting SFs have posted the 30th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (39.9%).
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Without the home court advantage, the Hawks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (5.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Caleb Martin has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 31.4% more than he's made in all games this year playing at home.

Favors Under

Caleb Martin has tallied 15.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, -4.5 less than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.
The Hawks have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Heat.

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