Caleb Martin Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2023

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Caleb Martin

NBA · Player Props

Caleb Martin

F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 4, 2023

Updated Mar 5, 2023 3:43 AM UTC

Analysis

Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-114/-114).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Caleb Martin has made 54.7% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 17.5% higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year.
The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
While playing on the road, the Hawks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (5.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Caleb Martin has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 31.4% more than he's put through the net overall this season while at home.
The matchup against the Hawks is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; their opposition have attempted a lowly 20.1 foul shots per game this year (6th-least in the NBA).

Favors Under

Caleb Martin has tallied 15.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, -4.5 lower than he's tallied in all games this season.
The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
This matchup is a positive one for field goals; opposing squads have averaged the 7th-most shots made from the field per game in the league this year (41.6).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year.
The Hawks have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.

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