Caleb Martin Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2023

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Caleb Martin

NBA · Player Props

Caleb Martin

F · Miami Heat

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat · Feb 27, 2023

Updated Feb 27, 2023 11:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Caleb Martin has successfully made 58.3% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 13.3% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year while on the road.
Caleb Martin has made 63.3% of his treys over the last 5 games on the road, 28.9% higher than he's made over the course of the season when playing away from home.
The Miami Heat have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
When playing at home, the 76ers have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Caleb Martin has played 15.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, -4.5 less than he's played in all games this season.
The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.
This matchup is a good one for scoring; opposing squads have put up the 9th-highest field goal percentage in the NBA over the last 20 games when the 76ers are on their home court (47.7%).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league this year.
The 76ers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Heat.

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