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Caleb Martin

Caleb Martin Points
Player Prop - 2/13/2023

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -128.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Caleb Martin has averaged a terrific 29.8 minutes per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 20.1 minutes per game last year.
  • The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should raise possessions for the Heat.
  • The Miami Heat have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
  • Caleb Martin has successfully made 93.8% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 15.6% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year with the home court advantage.
  • Caleb Martin will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to raises player performance in all stat categories.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Caleb Martin has failed to make 3.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's failed to convert from 3-point range overall this season.
  • Caleb Martin has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.3 more than he's been called for overall this year at home.
  • The Miami Heat have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
  • The matchup vs. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is a challenging one; he has allowed a measly 13.7 points per game when matched up against opposing starting SGs this year (3rd percentile).
  • The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while at home.

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