Caleb Martin Points - Player Prop Bet 2/11/2023

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Caleb Martin

NBA · Player Props

Caleb Martin

F · Miami Heat

Points

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat · Feb 11, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Caleb Martin has successfully made 54.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 5.9% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year while playing away from home.
Caleb Martin has successfully made 2.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's converted over the course of the year.
Caleb Martin has averaged a whopping 29.9 minutes per game this year, significantly higher than his 20.1 minutes per game last year.
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Caleb Martin has been called for 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's been called for overall this season.
The Miami Heat check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup against Paolo Banchero is a difficult one for three-pointers; when Banchero is on his home court and facing fellow starting PFs this year, they have made a measly 25.2% of their treys (8th percentile).
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Magic have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games at home, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Heat.

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